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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls incl

100% Yes 0% No
1971Credits Wagered
2Bets
1971On Yes
0On No

Probability Timeline

25%50%75%

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Betting as anon-375f25 (change) · balance: 100000 play credits

If you're right, you split the losing side's pool with everyone else who bet your side, proportional to your stake. If you're wrong, your stake goes to them.

Recent Bets

When (UTC)BettorSideAmount
2026-09-01T19:40:01.384Z anon-8600c2 yes 1495
2026-09-01T16:40:02.058Z anon-8600c2 yes 476